Prologue: (To the left is one MY scouts missed! Idiots!!!)
This year’s draft was unusual in several ways:
Firstly, it’s lack of what one might call a Stud Ace Starting Pitcher. There a few SPs taken in the first round the have a shot at being the Ace of a rotation. But none are what you’d call a “can’t miss” type. You know, the future Cy Young winner. I didn’t see any.
Secondly, it’s depth at the catcher position. 5 future star catchers taken within the first 64 picks. These 5, all have the potential to be solid signal callers and an be solid asset at the dish. Rarely have I seen more than 1 (if any) in a draft; let alone the two I saw and the three I didn’t.
Thirdly, it’s depth at the Closer spot. While not totally unusual to see a number of solid closer types in a draft, it’s not the norm. Three potential Major League closers were picked in the first round.
Here is my wrap up of the first 32 picks AND a little supplement looking at the catchers taken in the first couple of rounds. Note, at the time I wrote a particular report on a player he may not have been signed but has since been locked up by his drafting team (it took a few nights to write this up & things change).
1) K.C. Comets (AL)
Turner Dolan – CF. (unsigned) Value: 9.5/10 (4 seasons from ML)
In Turner (if signed) the Comets will have themselves a potential solid all-around CF. His defensive potential is solid, even could content for a Gold Glove or two. He should be a .320+ hitter, with 20+ HR and 30+ SBs. A downside (this is being picky) Arm Strength is below what you want ML CF; that’s why this one isn’t a 10/10. Other than that… a great first overall pick goes to the Comets.
2) Salt Lake City Shakers (NL)
Jordan Newfield – SS (signed) Value: 9.5/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
Well the Shakers got a real solid SS in Jordan. He should be .300 hitter and should hit 30-40 long flies once he hits his potential. Only two small knocks here, Batting Eye and Range (you’d like 80+ as SS); still again in overall scheme… neither are big deals with this kids other potential ratings. I think teams in the NL are going be sorry Jordan is in Salt Lake.
3) Chicago Cubs (NL)
Neifi McBride – SS. (unsigned) Value: 9.5/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
Neifi and Jordan were definitely the 2 best Shortstops available in the draft (though Hamill & Cook are nothing to sneeze at for sure). McBride is the slightly better fielder of the two and is slightly less the hitter but…realistically that’s splitting hairs. Once signed, the Cubs will have a possible Gold Glove SS for the future. A word caution with Neifi, even though his overall rating is 70+, start him no higher than A Ball. Cubs should give this kid time to develop into the player he should be, otherwise….. A look into the crystal ball sees Neifi & Jordan both playing SS for NL All Star team.
4) Toledo Mud Hens (AL)
Lonny Hernandez – L SP (signed) Value: 7.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
The only pitcher taken in the top 5, unusual!!! Lonny should make a solid 3-4 Starter if he makes his potential. Why not 1-2? Simple, pitches #3 & #4 – too low for that (both well under 50!). Having said that, #1 & #2 pitches have excellent potential. Lonny should make a solid pitcher in the Mud Hens rotation a few seasons down the road. Though with the 4th overall and 1st pitcher taken, you’d kind of expect a can’t miss Ace; Lonny will be good but not that good.
5) Atlanta Bandits (NL)
Stan Starr – RF (signed) Value 8.0/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
At first glance was ready to give a 10… which would’ve killed me considering the Bandits are in MY DIVISION! This Stan guy will HIT, not a doubt about that at all. He could put up MVP #s!!! Scared am I, Nervous am I………YEP!! The ONLY thing with Mr. Starr is his Health rating. To say it’s marginal is kind. IF Atlanta can get this guy to his potential, meaning avoiding major injury, AND can keep him from serious injury once he makes it to the majors…. MVP!
6) Wichita Cornjerkers (AL)
Thurman Allen – CF (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
This one could be a good all around CF for Wichita. Thurman will hit for power and average, also will be an asset in the field (even though his arm is erratic). His health is marginal though, but not as bad as the Bandit’s pick…still its question mark on an otherwise solid prospect. Hopefully, for the Cornjerkers, he can avoid injury and becomes a contributor at the ML level.
7) Colorado Spring Chickens (AL)
Ryan Hamill – SS (signed) Value 9/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
The third SS taken in the draft (3 out of the first 7!!). While Ryan isn’t quite on the level with Newfield or McBride, he’s definitely a solid pick. Steady (if not spectacular) D and a good bat with some definite pop in it, is what he’ll bring. He could be a .290 - .300 hitter with 40 bombs a year – nothing wrong with that in the least. No not MVP #s and maybe not a Gold Glover; still, I don’t know an owner that wouldn’t take him.
8) Vancouver Fighting Moose (AL)
Paul Schwartz – L RP (signed) Value 9.5/10 (3-4 Seasons from ML)
The second pitcher taken in the draft isn’t an Ace Starter, hmmmm... BUT he’s got the potential to be a “Lights Out” closer. One of the three that were taken in the first round. Finding a solid closer is one of the holy grails of HBD. Is Schwartz IT? Time will tell, but I’d say he’s got a REALLY good chance to be IT.
9) Ottawa Naughty Kitties (AL)
Yogi Anderson – R SP (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4 Seasons from ML) Yogi: It's all there but something's missing
Third pitcher taken in the draft and still no Ace (they all must be near the bottom of the deck?). Don’t get me wrong Yogi should become a solid starting pitcher in The Bigs. He’ll have great control and solid splits. Also he’ll be a ground ball pitcher with great velocity. But can this velocity over come the absence of an “out” pitch - maybe. Still, he should be of value to the Bad Cats when ready for The Bigs.
10) Boise Buckskins (NL)
Jesus Amezaga – L SP (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Could this be the ACE??? Time will tell, though I’ve got my doubts – but I’ve been wrong. The biggest concern again is the drop off after the #1 pitch. #2 to #4 are okay but not quite what you’d expect for a #1 or #2 starter. Jesus will give the team a lot of quality innings of work from the mound. Again, there is absolutely NOTHING wrong with that. Still there is a chance, he could make ML ACE Starter status… time will tell.
11) Anaheim Chiles (AL)
Pedro Candelaria – 2B (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4 Season from ML)
The first second baseman taken in the draft ain’t really a second baseman. His Arm accuracy is far too low for a MIF (arm strength is marginal as well). So, he’s a corner outfielder... with a good bat that has respectable pop in it. Pedro has the potential to be a permanent fixture in the Chiles line-up (great durability); who will should hit close (if not over) .300 with 30+ jacks – that ain’t even ½ bad!!!
12) Philadelphia Blue Jays (NL)
Willis Biddle – 2B (signed) Value 9.0/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Now this is a ML second baseman in the making. Mr. Biddle will play a steady 2B; but his bat will not be as steady. Cause it will be GREAT, this Montana boy can swing the lumber. He’ll hit for both average AND power. The only minor drawback is his weakness against righties (the majority of pitchers). Still, he’ll put up the #s at the dish.
13) Durham Entombed Spiders (AL)
Garry Wright R RP (unsigned) Value 7.5/10 (3-4 Seasons from ML)
The second potential closer taken in the 1st round. Garry could (if signed) have what it takes to be “turn out the lights the party is over” closer! He should have great durability (run him out there every time he’s needed) and he’ll have the stamina to pitch the entire 9th. Drawback (you knew it was coming) is he’s a fly ball pitcher and in my experience, that can (and will) really hurt; especially in a hitter’s park like Durham has. If in a Pitcher’s park, his value would be much higher!
14) San Juan Dead Bunnies (NL)
Spike Moran L SP (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Well….. close but…. not quite… the ACE. His splits will not quite be there.
But, Spike should make a good & steady 2-3 starter. The Stiff Hares will have to be patient with this prospect, but I think that patience will be well rewarded when this kid is finally ready for the show. Maybe not Cy Young material, but should make a fine addition to their rotation when ready.
15) Memphis Short Grass (NL)
Sam Brumfield C (signed) Value 10/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Here is the BEST of a deep crop of solid all around catchers that were available in this draft (see rest in the supplement). Sam should become perennial ALL STAR. He’s got the potential to hit for a good average (.280s maybe better) and with decent power. ALSO, he will have a solid arm and pitch calling ability (70+). But what puts this guy over the top…his durability AND health, two areas catchers are usually a little weak. Sam could play over 150 games a season! That is unheard of in HBD. So IMO, while the first 3 picks are great, this is the pick of the draft. Oh …. you want a drawback; OK… he has slightly below average speed on the bases for a catcher! YEA RIGHT, AS IF THAT REALLY MATTERS.
16) Huntington Beachcombers (AL)
Victor Sierra R SP (signed) Value 9/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Finally, a real potential ACE in the draft??? Victor should develop decent splits, good selection of quality pitches, throws hard etc; basically the things an ace of the rotation should have. Though with that said, his potential control is marginal for ML a starter. So, is Victor a potential ACE…. I think so if only barely due to the control issue. Either way, he’s a great pick for the 16th spot in the draft.
17) Arizona Diamondbacks (NL)
Jim Clyburn L RP (signed) Value 9.5/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Jim is the third potential closer taken in the 1st round. While a little unusual to see this many top quality potential closers in a draft, not really all that rare. And yep Jim has the potential to be a shutdown guy, no doubt about that in the least. Now, it may take him a while to get there but once ready, the D-Backs will have themselves an All Star closer on their hands.
18) Fargo Dirtbags (NL)
Dwayne Malloy R SP (unsigned) Value 6.5/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
If the Dirtbags can sign Dwayne, they’ll have a solid potential ML pitcher. Just what kind is a question. While, he should develop great splits, good control etc; but he has only 3 pitches and one is well below average in potential. The other two are average at best for ML starter (as his #2 & #3 pitches) but he doesn’t have a “go to” pitch. I see bullpen in the future here, both long & short are definite possibilities here. Unless it’s a closer, I don’t feel bullpen material is worthy of a 1st rounder.
19) Norfolk Destroyers (NL)
Bobby Davenport R SP (signed) Value 9.0/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Well my pick…personally I couldn’t believe I got him picking 19th… he should’ve gone higher. Bobby is a pretty good ACE prospect but again I wouldn’t say he’s of the “can’t miss" variety. The potential is all there – excellent control, good splits, two great pitches (and 2 are about average)….. So a drawback, his stamina could be better; but it’s ok for a starter. This kid is a project, but the reward at the end could be a solid #1 starter.
20) Cleveland Skidmarks (AL)
Albert Cook SS (unsigned) Value 8.5/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
Again IF signed, Albert could become a potential Gold Glove Shortstop for the Skidmarks. He’ll hit for a decent average and decent power but nothing that will set the world on fire though (.260s - .270s with 30 HRs). Reason – his contact and batting eye are marginal (not to mention his R split is marginal too). Even so, he’s a solid future starting ML SS for the Cleveland franchise.
21) Cincinnati Dragons (NL)
Tomas Sierra R RP? (unsigned) Value 6.0/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Here is a pick that…. well frankly put, ain’t 1st rnd material IMO. He definitely will not be a starter (Stamina is below starter level & only 2 good pitches). Possible Long Relief, but I think he’ll be most useful in a set up role. He’s got the tools for that, if you keep his pitch count to a “set up” pitcher level. I don’t see him as a closer. So a setup guy in the first round? I’m not saying he will not be a ML pitcher, I think he can be; but a first round pick… nope.
22) New Orleans Voodoo (NL)
Bryan Christiansen LF (unsigned) Value 7.0/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
This is a pick I’d like to follow (if signed) and see what kind of hitter he becomes. Bryan’s defensive abilities will be the proto-typical COF. He’ll have great contact rating, hit for power and has an above average eye. BUT his splits will be well below the average. So can a guy with splits this low hit ML pitching?? I don’t know to tell the truth, so it will be interesting to see. MY guess…. A Fred McGriff type hitter – Feast or Famine. Though, his speed and base running ability might make him a candidate for the 40/40 club. Either way, I’m curious to see if he can be ML hitter.
23) New York new york (AL)
Warren Pagnozzi ? P (unsigned) Value ??/10 (? Seasons from ML)
My scouts didn’t see this kid and he’s not signed, so I’ve got the info from itomcny (New York’s owner). From what he told me, this one could’ve been the potential Cy Young winner of the future…Potential per owner: Stamina 87, Control 99, Splits 51/55, Vel 100, GB/FB 79, Pitches – 100, 74, 63, 23 & 47. That’s some serious potential. Apparently this “brat” has decided to go back to college – rejecting 6 Million he was offered!!! My thought… kidnap the jerk and brainwash him “College Bad…. Baseball Good”; then force him to sign a 10 year contract for 3,270,000 (327,000 per year) and NO BONUS!
24) Houston Riverdogs (AL)
Alex Suarez CF (signed) Value 7.0/10 (5 Seasons from ML)
This prospect is without a doubt a long term project. What’s at the end of the development? Well, he’ll not be infield material – Arm too erratic; so that puts him in the OF. He’s not quite a CF, though he’s close. His offensive ratings for the most part look really good – Power, Eye, Contact BUT his R split is low. Still, I think he’ll make a fine addition to the Riverdogs line-up when ready.
25) Salem Sacrifices (NL)
Here is my wrap up of the first 32 picks AND a little supplement looking at the catchers taken in the first couple of rounds. Note, at the time I wrote a particular report on a player he may not have been signed but has since been locked up by his drafting team (it took a few nights to write this up & things change).
1) K.C. Comets (AL)
Turner Dolan – CF. (unsigned) Value: 9.5/10 (4 seasons from ML)
In Turner (if signed) the Comets will have themselves a potential solid all-around CF. His defensive potential is solid, even could content for a Gold Glove or two. He should be a .320+ hitter, with 20+ HR and 30+ SBs. A downside (this is being picky) Arm Strength is below what you want ML CF; that’s why this one isn’t a 10/10. Other than that… a great first overall pick goes to the Comets.
2) Salt Lake City Shakers (NL)
Jordan Newfield – SS (signed) Value: 9.5/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
Well the Shakers got a real solid SS in Jordan. He should be .300 hitter and should hit 30-40 long flies once he hits his potential. Only two small knocks here, Batting Eye and Range (you’d like 80+ as SS); still again in overall scheme… neither are big deals with this kids other potential ratings. I think teams in the NL are going be sorry Jordan is in Salt Lake.
3) Chicago Cubs (NL)
Neifi McBride – SS. (unsigned) Value: 9.5/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
Neifi and Jordan were definitely the 2 best Shortstops available in the draft (though Hamill & Cook are nothing to sneeze at for sure). McBride is the slightly better fielder of the two and is slightly less the hitter but…realistically that’s splitting hairs. Once signed, the Cubs will have a possible Gold Glove SS for the future. A word caution with Neifi, even though his overall rating is 70+, start him no higher than A Ball. Cubs should give this kid time to develop into the player he should be, otherwise….. A look into the crystal ball sees Neifi & Jordan both playing SS for NL All Star team.
4) Toledo Mud Hens (AL)
Lonny Hernandez – L SP (signed) Value: 7.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
The only pitcher taken in the top 5, unusual!!! Lonny should make a solid 3-4 Starter if he makes his potential. Why not 1-2? Simple, pitches #3 & #4 – too low for that (both well under 50!). Having said that, #1 & #2 pitches have excellent potential. Lonny should make a solid pitcher in the Mud Hens rotation a few seasons down the road. Though with the 4th overall and 1st pitcher taken, you’d kind of expect a can’t miss Ace; Lonny will be good but not that good.
5) Atlanta Bandits (NL)
Stan Starr – RF (signed) Value 8.0/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
At first glance was ready to give a 10… which would’ve killed me considering the Bandits are in MY DIVISION! This Stan guy will HIT, not a doubt about that at all. He could put up MVP #s!!! Scared am I, Nervous am I………YEP!! The ONLY thing with Mr. Starr is his Health rating. To say it’s marginal is kind. IF Atlanta can get this guy to his potential, meaning avoiding major injury, AND can keep him from serious injury once he makes it to the majors…. MVP!
6) Wichita Cornjerkers (AL)
Thurman Allen – CF (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
This one could be a good all around CF for Wichita. Thurman will hit for power and average, also will be an asset in the field (even though his arm is erratic). His health is marginal though, but not as bad as the Bandit’s pick…still its question mark on an otherwise solid prospect. Hopefully, for the Cornjerkers, he can avoid injury and becomes a contributor at the ML level.
7) Colorado Spring Chickens (AL)
Ryan Hamill – SS (signed) Value 9/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
The third SS taken in the draft (3 out of the first 7!!). While Ryan isn’t quite on the level with Newfield or McBride, he’s definitely a solid pick. Steady (if not spectacular) D and a good bat with some definite pop in it, is what he’ll bring. He could be a .290 - .300 hitter with 40 bombs a year – nothing wrong with that in the least. No not MVP #s and maybe not a Gold Glover; still, I don’t know an owner that wouldn’t take him.
8) Vancouver Fighting Moose (AL)
Paul Schwartz – L RP (signed) Value 9.5/10 (3-4 Seasons from ML)
The second pitcher taken in the draft isn’t an Ace Starter, hmmmm... BUT he’s got the potential to be a “Lights Out” closer. One of the three that were taken in the first round. Finding a solid closer is one of the holy grails of HBD. Is Schwartz IT? Time will tell, but I’d say he’s got a REALLY good chance to be IT.
9) Ottawa Naughty Kitties (AL)
Yogi Anderson – R SP (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4 Seasons from ML) Yogi: It's all there but something's missing
Third pitcher taken in the draft and still no Ace (they all must be near the bottom of the deck?). Don’t get me wrong Yogi should become a solid starting pitcher in The Bigs. He’ll have great control and solid splits. Also he’ll be a ground ball pitcher with great velocity. But can this velocity over come the absence of an “out” pitch - maybe. Still, he should be of value to the Bad Cats when ready for The Bigs.
10) Boise Buckskins (NL)
Jesus Amezaga – L SP (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Could this be the ACE??? Time will tell, though I’ve got my doubts – but I’ve been wrong. The biggest concern again is the drop off after the #1 pitch. #2 to #4 are okay but not quite what you’d expect for a #1 or #2 starter. Jesus will give the team a lot of quality innings of work from the mound. Again, there is absolutely NOTHING wrong with that. Still there is a chance, he could make ML ACE Starter status… time will tell.
11) Anaheim Chiles (AL)
Pedro Candelaria – 2B (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4 Season from ML)
The first second baseman taken in the draft ain’t really a second baseman. His Arm accuracy is far too low for a MIF (arm strength is marginal as well). So, he’s a corner outfielder... with a good bat that has respectable pop in it. Pedro has the potential to be a permanent fixture in the Chiles line-up (great durability); who will should hit close (if not over) .300 with 30+ jacks – that ain’t even ½ bad!!!
12) Philadelphia Blue Jays (NL)
Willis Biddle – 2B (signed) Value 9.0/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Now this is a ML second baseman in the making. Mr. Biddle will play a steady 2B; but his bat will not be as steady. Cause it will be GREAT, this Montana boy can swing the lumber. He’ll hit for both average AND power. The only minor drawback is his weakness against righties (the majority of pitchers). Still, he’ll put up the #s at the dish.
13) Durham Entombed Spiders (AL)
Garry Wright R RP (unsigned) Value 7.5/10 (3-4 Seasons from ML)
The second potential closer taken in the 1st round. Garry could (if signed) have what it takes to be “turn out the lights the party is over” closer! He should have great durability (run him out there every time he’s needed) and he’ll have the stamina to pitch the entire 9th. Drawback (you knew it was coming) is he’s a fly ball pitcher and in my experience, that can (and will) really hurt; especially in a hitter’s park like Durham has. If in a Pitcher’s park, his value would be much higher!
14) San Juan Dead Bunnies (NL)
Spike Moran L SP (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Well….. close but…. not quite… the ACE. His splits will not quite be there.
But, Spike should make a good & steady 2-3 starter. The Stiff Hares will have to be patient with this prospect, but I think that patience will be well rewarded when this kid is finally ready for the show. Maybe not Cy Young material, but should make a fine addition to their rotation when ready.
15) Memphis Short Grass (NL)
Sam Brumfield C (signed) Value 10/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Here is the BEST of a deep crop of solid all around catchers that were available in this draft (see rest in the supplement). Sam should become perennial ALL STAR. He’s got the potential to hit for a good average (.280s maybe better) and with decent power. ALSO, he will have a solid arm and pitch calling ability (70+). But what puts this guy over the top…his durability AND health, two areas catchers are usually a little weak. Sam could play over 150 games a season! That is unheard of in HBD. So IMO, while the first 3 picks are great, this is the pick of the draft. Oh …. you want a drawback; OK… he has slightly below average speed on the bases for a catcher! YEA RIGHT, AS IF THAT REALLY MATTERS.
16) Huntington Beachcombers (AL)
Victor Sierra R SP (signed) Value 9/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Finally, a real potential ACE in the draft??? Victor should develop decent splits, good selection of quality pitches, throws hard etc; basically the things an ace of the rotation should have. Though with that said, his potential control is marginal for ML a starter. So, is Victor a potential ACE…. I think so if only barely due to the control issue. Either way, he’s a great pick for the 16th spot in the draft.
17) Arizona Diamondbacks (NL)
Jim Clyburn L RP (signed) Value 9.5/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Jim is the third potential closer taken in the 1st round. While a little unusual to see this many top quality potential closers in a draft, not really all that rare. And yep Jim has the potential to be a shutdown guy, no doubt about that in the least. Now, it may take him a while to get there but once ready, the D-Backs will have themselves an All Star closer on their hands.
18) Fargo Dirtbags (NL)
Dwayne Malloy R SP (unsigned) Value 6.5/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
If the Dirtbags can sign Dwayne, they’ll have a solid potential ML pitcher. Just what kind is a question. While, he should develop great splits, good control etc; but he has only 3 pitches and one is well below average in potential. The other two are average at best for ML starter (as his #2 & #3 pitches) but he doesn’t have a “go to” pitch. I see bullpen in the future here, both long & short are definite possibilities here. Unless it’s a closer, I don’t feel bullpen material is worthy of a 1st rounder.
19) Norfolk Destroyers (NL)
Bobby Davenport R SP (signed) Value 9.0/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Well my pick…personally I couldn’t believe I got him picking 19th… he should’ve gone higher. Bobby is a pretty good ACE prospect but again I wouldn’t say he’s of the “can’t miss" variety. The potential is all there – excellent control, good splits, two great pitches (and 2 are about average)….. So a drawback, his stamina could be better; but it’s ok for a starter. This kid is a project, but the reward at the end could be a solid #1 starter.
20) Cleveland Skidmarks (AL)
Albert Cook SS (unsigned) Value 8.5/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
Again IF signed, Albert could become a potential Gold Glove Shortstop for the Skidmarks. He’ll hit for a decent average and decent power but nothing that will set the world on fire though (.260s - .270s with 30 HRs). Reason – his contact and batting eye are marginal (not to mention his R split is marginal too). Even so, he’s a solid future starting ML SS for the Cleveland franchise.
21) Cincinnati Dragons (NL)
Tomas Sierra R RP? (unsigned) Value 6.0/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Here is a pick that…. well frankly put, ain’t 1st rnd material IMO. He definitely will not be a starter (Stamina is below starter level & only 2 good pitches). Possible Long Relief, but I think he’ll be most useful in a set up role. He’s got the tools for that, if you keep his pitch count to a “set up” pitcher level. I don’t see him as a closer. So a setup guy in the first round? I’m not saying he will not be a ML pitcher, I think he can be; but a first round pick… nope.
22) New Orleans Voodoo (NL)
Bryan Christiansen LF (unsigned) Value 7.0/10 (3 Seasons from ML)
This is a pick I’d like to follow (if signed) and see what kind of hitter he becomes. Bryan’s defensive abilities will be the proto-typical COF. He’ll have great contact rating, hit for power and has an above average eye. BUT his splits will be well below the average. So can a guy with splits this low hit ML pitching?? I don’t know to tell the truth, so it will be interesting to see. MY guess…. A Fred McGriff type hitter – Feast or Famine. Though, his speed and base running ability might make him a candidate for the 40/40 club. Either way, I’m curious to see if he can be ML hitter.
23) New York new york (AL)
Warren Pagnozzi ? P (unsigned) Value ??/10 (? Seasons from ML)
My scouts didn’t see this kid and he’s not signed, so I’ve got the info from itomcny (New York’s owner). From what he told me, this one could’ve been the potential Cy Young winner of the future…Potential per owner: Stamina 87, Control 99, Splits 51/55, Vel 100, GB/FB 79, Pitches – 100, 74, 63, 23 & 47. That’s some serious potential. Apparently this “brat” has decided to go back to college – rejecting 6 Million he was offered!!! My thought… kidnap the jerk and brainwash him “College Bad…. Baseball Good”; then force him to sign a 10 year contract for 3,270,000 (327,000 per year) and NO BONUS!
24) Houston Riverdogs (AL)
Alex Suarez CF (signed) Value 7.0/10 (5 Seasons from ML)
This prospect is without a doubt a long term project. What’s at the end of the development? Well, he’ll not be infield material – Arm too erratic; so that puts him in the OF. He’s not quite a CF, though he’s close. His offensive ratings for the most part look really good – Power, Eye, Contact BUT his R split is low. Still, I think he’ll make a fine addition to the Riverdogs line-up when ready.
25) Salem Sacrifices (NL)
Mark Bong R SP (signed) Value 8.0/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
This here is a solid (if not spectacular) pick for Salem. Like some of the other starters taken in this round, he ain’t going to be an ACE (his #1 pitch just ain’t enough). He should be a good #3 man in the rotation. Decent splits, solid control, he’ll have good velocity etc. These ratings all say a steady ML Starter to me.
26) Nashville Sounds (AL)
George Lowe CF (signed) Value 8.5/10 (5 Seasons from ML)
Mr. Lowe is another one of these long term projects. Nashville will have to work to get this kid to his potential. If they do… they’ll have a really good CFer for the leadoff spot in the lineup! He’s going to have great speed & base running ability; couple that with hitting ratings that say .320+ with a little pop there. George should become what you want in a lead off hitter. His OBP should be among the league’s best. This is a great pick for the 26th overall!
27) Toronto Toros (NL)
Willis Casey R SP (signed) Value 7.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
This guy looks like a Lonny Hernandez (taken 4th) clone. He’s got the identical thing with his pitch ratings – 2 great ones & the next 2 are well below average. Good Stamina, OK control, decent split, etc. Like Lonny, Willis should make a fine addition to Toronto’s rotation, just not at the top of it.
28) Trenton Traffic (NL)
Vasco Lopez C (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Well, here is the second of the great crop of catchers taken in this draft. He’ll have great PC rating and will definitely hit. The one thing that hurts his overall value is his arm, it’s just marginal for the catching position. His ability to handle the pitching staff and handle the bat makes him a great future asset.
29) Las Vegas Gamblers (AL)
Jay Hegan SS (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
This here is a solid (if not spectacular) pick for Salem. Like some of the other starters taken in this round, he ain’t going to be an ACE (his #1 pitch just ain’t enough). He should be a good #3 man in the rotation. Decent splits, solid control, he’ll have good velocity etc. These ratings all say a steady ML Starter to me.
26) Nashville Sounds (AL)
George Lowe CF (signed) Value 8.5/10 (5 Seasons from ML)
Mr. Lowe is another one of these long term projects. Nashville will have to work to get this kid to his potential. If they do… they’ll have a really good CFer for the leadoff spot in the lineup! He’s going to have great speed & base running ability; couple that with hitting ratings that say .320+ with a little pop there. George should become what you want in a lead off hitter. His OBP should be among the league’s best. This is a great pick for the 26th overall!
27) Toronto Toros (NL)
Willis Casey R SP (signed) Value 7.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
This guy looks like a Lonny Hernandez (taken 4th) clone. He’s got the identical thing with his pitch ratings – 2 great ones & the next 2 are well below average. Good Stamina, OK control, decent split, etc. Like Lonny, Willis should make a fine addition to Toronto’s rotation, just not at the top of it.
28) Trenton Traffic (NL)
Vasco Lopez C (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4 Seasons from ML)
Well, here is the second of the great crop of catchers taken in this draft. He’ll have great PC rating and will definitely hit. The one thing that hurts his overall value is his arm, it’s just marginal for the catching position. His ability to handle the pitching staff and handle the bat makes him a great future asset.
29) Las Vegas Gamblers (AL)
Jay Hegan SS (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4+ Seasons from ML)
Once he makes it to the majors, will Jay win the Gold Glove at SS or a Batting Crown? Most likely No; but there can only be one GG & one Batting Champ each year. What Jay will be, is a steady everyday SS for the Gamblers when the day comes. He’ll hit for a respectable average and hit some long balls; also he’ll be a steady defensive SS. I’d have NO COMPLAINTS with any of that. This is a good late 1st round pick for Sin City.
30) Milwaukee Manic Maulers (AL)
Benny McDonald SS (signed) Value 6.5/10 (5 Seasons from the ML)
Benny is not shortstop material, glove just wouldn’t cut it at the ML level. Even 2b is marginal, though his range could make up for it; 3B however is a possibility for sure. Though his bat isn’t quite what you’d want there. Sure he’ll have decent power but his splits are “average”, eye is only slightly above “average” and his contact rating is below “average”. I may be wrong on this one but I see him as future bench material, ML for sure but a utility guy.
31) Louisville Legends (AL)
Red Rose SS (signed) Value 6.5/10 (5 Seasons from the ML)
With this one, I’d be repeating what I said with Benny above. Though Red should be a better overall defensive player than Benny; his bat will not be as good. He’ll develop decent splits and OK power; what hurts is his contact will be average at best and his eye will be well below that average mark. Again, I see ML Utility material here. I didn’t say this above; bench guys aren’t quite what you’re looking for with your 1st round pick.
32) Louisville Legends (AL)
Dennis Knorr L SP (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4 Seasons from the ML)
The Legends are the only team with 2 first round picks (past pick 32 are supplemental, not really 1st rnd) and they get them back to back. This pick is a far better one IMO. Dennis will definitely be ML starter material; possible ACE of the rotation. I say possible, because I’ve found 3 pitch starters to be a little inconsistent in performance. I’ve no idea why, just seems to be that way. Maybe Dennis bucks that trend, either way he’ll make for a good starter at the ML level some day.
Supplement:
As I mentioned in the prologue this draft was unusually deep in the catcher position. Here is a look at the other catchers taken in the first couple of rounds (incl. supplemental picks) of this draft
37) Louisville Legends (AL)
Steven O’Malley Value 8.5/10
Steven is about on par with Trenton’s Lopez. While his PC rating will not be as good; I think he’ll be the better hitter. His arm is only slightly better than Lopez’s. Overall, I’d say it’s a wash between them. O’Malley is going to be a great ML catcher when the time comes.
56) Anaheim Chiles (AL)
Frank Martin Value 9.0/10
This is the other one I saw and he was rated one notch above the guy I drafted. Frank has all the potential tools to be a ML All-Star at the Catching Position. Good PC rating, great arm for a catcher, and he’ll definitely light up some pitchers when he’s at the dish. Frank is major project however (why he’s not a 9.5); it’s going to take time for him to get there.
57) Philadelphia Blue Jays (NL)
Juan Park Value 7.0/10
Two catchers picked in a row this early in the draft, is rare in deed. But really Juan isn’t a Catcher, in my term he’s a “Pseudo Catcher”. While having a pretty good arm for catcher; his PC rating is far too low to have him behind the plate. His potential hitting ratings are really overall are just average for a P-Catcher. Only average power, a great eye and decent splits; but his contact rating is just above average. Juan should become a decent 1b or DH, just not quite All Star material at either of those positions.
64) Norfolk Destroyers (NL)
Butch Bush 9.0/10
The final catcher taken in 1st two rounds (6th catcher overall) is the one I took. Butch has tremendous potential: Slightly above average glove for catcher, fantastic arm, great PC and should he have a decent batting average with solid power #s. Butch has 2 major drawbacks though: minor being his R Split is low and major being that he’s going to take a LONG time to get to his potential; which could mean he doesn’t. Still, with this kind of potential, hopefully like Anaheim’s Frank Martin he’s worth the wait.
30) Milwaukee Manic Maulers (AL)
Benny McDonald SS (signed) Value 6.5/10 (5 Seasons from the ML)
Benny is not shortstop material, glove just wouldn’t cut it at the ML level. Even 2b is marginal, though his range could make up for it; 3B however is a possibility for sure. Though his bat isn’t quite what you’d want there. Sure he’ll have decent power but his splits are “average”, eye is only slightly above “average” and his contact rating is below “average”. I may be wrong on this one but I see him as future bench material, ML for sure but a utility guy.
31) Louisville Legends (AL)
Red Rose SS (signed) Value 6.5/10 (5 Seasons from the ML)
With this one, I’d be repeating what I said with Benny above. Though Red should be a better overall defensive player than Benny; his bat will not be as good. He’ll develop decent splits and OK power; what hurts is his contact will be average at best and his eye will be well below that average mark. Again, I see ML Utility material here. I didn’t say this above; bench guys aren’t quite what you’re looking for with your 1st round pick.
32) Louisville Legends (AL)
Dennis Knorr L SP (signed) Value 8.5/10 (4 Seasons from the ML)
The Legends are the only team with 2 first round picks (past pick 32 are supplemental, not really 1st rnd) and they get them back to back. This pick is a far better one IMO. Dennis will definitely be ML starter material; possible ACE of the rotation. I say possible, because I’ve found 3 pitch starters to be a little inconsistent in performance. I’ve no idea why, just seems to be that way. Maybe Dennis bucks that trend, either way he’ll make for a good starter at the ML level some day.
Supplement:
As I mentioned in the prologue this draft was unusually deep in the catcher position. Here is a look at the other catchers taken in the first couple of rounds (incl. supplemental picks) of this draft
37) Louisville Legends (AL)
Steven O’Malley Value 8.5/10
Steven is about on par with Trenton’s Lopez. While his PC rating will not be as good; I think he’ll be the better hitter. His arm is only slightly better than Lopez’s. Overall, I’d say it’s a wash between them. O’Malley is going to be a great ML catcher when the time comes.
56) Anaheim Chiles (AL)
Frank Martin Value 9.0/10
This is the other one I saw and he was rated one notch above the guy I drafted. Frank has all the potential tools to be a ML All-Star at the Catching Position. Good PC rating, great arm for a catcher, and he’ll definitely light up some pitchers when he’s at the dish. Frank is major project however (why he’s not a 9.5); it’s going to take time for him to get there.
57) Philadelphia Blue Jays (NL)
Juan Park Value 7.0/10
Two catchers picked in a row this early in the draft, is rare in deed. But really Juan isn’t a Catcher, in my term he’s a “Pseudo Catcher”. While having a pretty good arm for catcher; his PC rating is far too low to have him behind the plate. His potential hitting ratings are really overall are just average for a P-Catcher. Only average power, a great eye and decent splits; but his contact rating is just above average. Juan should become a decent 1b or DH, just not quite All Star material at either of those positions.
64) Norfolk Destroyers (NL)
Butch Bush 9.0/10
The final catcher taken in 1st two rounds (6th catcher overall) is the one I took. Butch has tremendous potential: Slightly above average glove for catcher, fantastic arm, great PC and should he have a decent batting average with solid power #s. Butch has 2 major drawbacks though: minor being his R Split is low and major being that he’s going to take a LONG time to get to his potential; which could mean he doesn’t. Still, with this kind of potential, hopefully like Anaheim’s Frank Martin he’s worth the wait.
3 comments:
Thanks again, aginor. Just one question: about Pagnozzi, do you think a guy with 51/55 splits can win a Cy Young?
Yea they're marginal but with control of 99, velocity of 100 & that kind of quality pitches... YES, absolutely. I've seen guys with splits only slightly better (lesser in the other areas)up for the Cy award in my leagues. Note, I didn't he was a "can't miss" type.Just had the "potential"
I've got a guy like that in one of my leagues-let's just say I call him Oliver Perez because he's either going to throw 8 innings of (near) shutout ball or not get out of the third and both are pretty much equally likely to happen on any given night.
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